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Xiris

RNG numbers for loot boxes

13 posts in this topic

Hey @RedPanda,

It was nice to see finally the droprates of loot boxes. You forgot the Lucky Crystal Chest and Goblin Crystal Chest.

I will mainly focus on the 2 I have gathered datas on, Light of Dawn amd Mystery Ore Bag.

Light of Dawn :

I opened around 300 Light of Dawn, 5 legendaries, around 25% leaves (1 or 2) and rest is gold. I've never seen the 5 leaves drop. So when I see :

Quote

Large amounts of Leafs of Eternity 19.10%

 

and

Quote

Equipment  8.65%

 

Mystery Ore Bag :

I got the achievement of 500 shadows crystals by spending golds into crystals through AH with the hope to get Liador, we were 3 others to do so in my team, we all got the achievement, none of us got the mount with, as you stated, 6.51% of droprate. 

I clearly think that you did as you do for everything in the game, roll the dice, got those generated random numbers as official values.

I let you calculate the logical mathematical expectation linked to the real datas shown in game.

Maybe sometimes, releasing good content a little later  over new content could be nice, and seen as respect.

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It's definitely great to see that information so we can get a better idea of what's a good deal for us at the time.

I definitely feel some form of confidence in our CM's

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Hi @RedPanda,

 

Thanks a lot for provided information. 

Should we expect updates for provided drop rate? After server's update/game update....

 

Would be nice to get more information about success rate in crafting Legendary, drop from Bosses, etc

 

Best Regards, FireBall

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13 hours ago, Xiris said:

Hey @RedPanda,

It was nice to see finally the droprates of loot boxes. You forgot the Lucky Crystal Chest and Goblin Crystal Chest.

I will mainly focus on the 2 I have gathered datas on, Light of Dawn amd Mystery Ore Bag.

Light of Dawn :

I opened around 300 Light of Dawn, 5 legendaries, around 25% leaves (1 or 2) and rest is gold. I've never seen the 5 leaves drop. So when I see :

 

and

 

Mystery Ore Bag :

I got the achievement of 500 shadows crystals by spending golds into crystals through AH with the hope to get Liador, we were 3 others to do so in my team, we all got the achievement, none of us got the mount with, as you stated, 6.51% of droprate. 

I clearly think that you did as you do for everything in the game, roll the dice, got those generated random numbers as official values.

I let you calculate the logical mathematical expectation linked to the real datas shown in game.

Maybe sometimes, releasing good content a little later  over new content could be nice, and seen as respect.

Very well put. 👍👍👍

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Did you get other mounts in the mystery ore bag?

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Yes, it is possible to catch legendary equipment, using "equipment box", but you did not say the chance to get it @RedPanda

 

 

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33 minutes ago, SkyLight said:

Yes, it is possible to catch legendary equipment, using "equipment box", but you did not say the chance to get it @RedPanda

 

 

I can confirm that you can get legends out of them

 

33 minutes ago, RedPanda said:

Legendary items are purple quality.

Might be a good idea to sort the odds of getting a standard piece of purple equipment versus getting an exquisite

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1 hour ago, ShadowOfALegend said:

Might be a good idea to sort the odds of getting a standard piece of purple equipment versus getting an exquisite

Probably 0.9% or 1%.

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7 minutes ago, Esrun said:

Probably 0.9% or 1%.

it's possible but it's still worth bringing it to the CM's attention

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If rng works the way it does in most games it rolls every time you open a box or forge. It doesn't matter how many times you open the same box it will always be that 1% or 6% chance. Never a guarantee unfortunately. 

I wish it was since I'm at 317 forges with 0 legendaries.

Edited by Dracula_X

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Right.  I think a lot of people are getting misled the same way they are when they go to purchase real life lotto tickets.

You can buy 100 boxes, and you won't get a guaranteed 1% piece of equipment because the effect isn't cumulative.  Each box you open is a single instance with a 1% chance of the drop.

I did notice that they didn't include a drop rate for Frost Hearts in Guardian's Gift.  I have received a Frost Heart from one within the past few months.

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26 light of dawns,

200 masks 🎭 

300 beers 🍺 and 100s of things before like dance box and mount box 📦 and I’ve wined and moaned for ages about this, you put the numbers up and like xiris said they don’t match up, if so by now I should have 3x many legendary by going by your numbers, 

xiris is right they are way of red panda sorry but it’s true.

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