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Everything posted by TobeRobert

  1. It's official everyone. Event will be June 31st. =D
  2. Ok. Suit yourself.
  3. So... this has been a guild secret for over 2 years now. Generally speaking, it has served us well. But I feel it is time to give it away to anybody left who could benefit from it. It is a procedure for increasing the odds of a successful forge or enhancement. It has held true and can nearly allow one to predict with certainty that a mythic forge or enhancement will succeed or fail. The one big exception is my Bane. I am now convinced, that the game can't handle my Bane if he gets any more OP. Anyways, hope it serves well for anybody left in this game. Enjoy. "For all of the people who have recently joined: First of all welcome. Glad to have you. Now that is out of the way, I would like to share with you a technique that a few of us have been developing to increase the success rate of forging and enhancements. We loosely refer to it as the reverse forge method. Perhaps it should be the reverse enforgement method. Whatever.... The idea is essentially to do your forges or enhancements in reverse order of chance for success. For example, if you were to auto fill 5 things to forge, it would start with common stuff at 100% success rate. Then onto Fine stuff at 50%, rare stuff at 45%, and so on. The higher the order the lower the chance of success. This also applies to enhancements. The more stars you want the lower is the success rate. We want to raise the actual success rate. To do this, we need to determine what variables are used to calculate actual probabilities of success. Yes, the success rate is included, but there are others. So far, it appears the only other variables are time and prior success/ failure ratio. Lets talk about the time. This variable has undoubtedly changed since the server merging. It used to fade out the weight of prior successes and failures over 12 hrs. It now appears to have a hard reset every 24 hrs. Near as I can tell, that reset occurs at 3pm Server time (Ghostwood is same as EST). This has not been completely confirmed yet. I have personally had a couple of WTF moments, but generally speaking, it is mostly correct. The other variable is past success/ fail ratio. Lets go back to the autofill example. Lets say you autofill with commons and forge 3 times. The success rate is 100% so you end up with 3 fine things. Add those to the 2 fines that you already had, and you are ready to forge a rare thing at 50%. Except that it wont be 50% anymore. The 3 prior forges are calculated into a bigger probability formula by the good folk down at EA. You would be guaranteed to fail. Go on and try it right now; you know that this has happened many times to you. However, if you were to wait for 24 hrs, it would be successful. And by then, you would have another handful of commons to forge immediately after. This is where the reverse order comes from. Start with the least likely forgings and enhancements. Then do all with a 100% success rate. You end up beating the odds, literally. Mon thru Fri forge an epic then all commons or fines. Sat, forge a mythic, and then all the commons or fines. What ever the highest order of stuff you can forge and then commons. Do not expect to forge a mythic and then be able to forge an epic. You would have already thrown off the probabilities for the epic into negative territory. You must be patient. Crafting is also calculated in the probabilities. Just put crafting last in order like the commons; it is a forge at 100%. And one last consideration, the success/fail ratio over the last 24 hrs seem to affect both forging and enhancements. Meaning that the 3 fine forges you just did at 100% will tank the 3rd mythic gem you want to enhance with at 50%. They cross over. They do not. These are based on observations and note taking, and they have changed since the server merge. But bottom line is, if I can compile the stats of many forge and enhance attempts, we can nail it down solid. If you can help, you can PM me with the info. I will need to know time of the attempt/s, successes or fails, length of time since last forge and enhance attempt, and the displayed success rate of each attempt. With enough participation, this can propel the whole guild with out spending alot of money like some other guilds. So help out by taking notes." Follow up comments: Reading this again after a long time, I should probably change the 24-48 hr reset. It has been determined that the probabilities of a successful forge or enhancement gradually rise over at least a month for mythic. For this reason, I have intentionally failed a couple of lower class forges to boost the success probability for a mythic. I have had much success with this as well. Another tactic is to build up half dozen items to 4-star. Them attempt to enhance to 5-star on each one until it is successful. You will be successful after 3-5 attempts. In the meantime, you will have received 7 fragments for each fail, so another, free 5-star should be close at hand. =D Conclusion: As with anything in life, you will know when you are pushing your luck. And as bad as you want 5-star on your Panto's huntbow, you know damn well it's going to fail. Patience is required by design in the game.
  4. Exactly why I posted it. I believe @PHaMTaSTiK has probably seen this before as a long time guildie of mine (Alpha/Omega) was also a guildie of his. @Break I have (1) 5-star item. As long as I have 3-star items, I continue to make them all 4-star before attempting 5-star. My Rasha has a 5-star Pantos Huntbow, and all other gear is 4-star. My Hibe has all 4-star. As for the other 9 heroes I work on, they all have a combo of 3 or 4-star mythic gear set pieces. My Rasha can sometimes break 400k in 1 hit on the Boss. She turns me on too when she does this. Jajaja Let me know how the method works for you.
  5. @FairyW I can help you with that. I will post in EA guides.
  6. I sure hope its a Hannibal event...
  7. Here is what I do in normal pvp if the opponent team uses Rurik or Oma. I have my team and I just stand on the launch pad and do nothing. We peacefully protest. Hahaha -.-
  8. @wajahathmohammed Monthly events used to always start on Thu's. So if they do the normal monthly rotation it would likely start on Thu the 7th.
  9. @Ocho @PHaMTaSTiK Here is an idea for events that should not be too labor intensive, yet would bring some excitement to the long time players such as myself. How about a Throwback month. You could bring back Pitfight for a time. Then follow with the original GW format and the unicorn Boss. Then follow up with the original PVP format with all the runes and Stony Gorge available. Would make for a very fun month for those of us who reminisc those days and something new for those who don't. ...I miss pony time Boss. How about anybody else?
  10. @Ocho Another request for Gear up shop: We have not had the Pheonix whistle available for like, a year and a half or more. Please consider adding to the top gear selections.
  11. @Ocho I hope to see this soon. The server is very quiet now. Hard to ever get a pvp match. Also, since I now gave 20k diamonds I have no reason to renew the 100 per day card. No events makes it hard to justify spending any $.
  12. @Ocho @RedPanda Please delete the spam posts and block that bot forever.
  13. I am only still playing because I have severe OCD. And I am curious to know just how thoroughly NE can kill their own customer base...
  14. @Ocho The Pheonix Whistle would be good to have available in a Gear Up event again. Haven't seen it in a very long time.
  15. Yay! An event in May? About damn time
  16. @Goshu @MasterwomanThink positive. With out any gear up events, you can spend bajillions of diamonds to max out all of the stat boosts from artifacts.
  17. @Goshu I understand how Boss is related to the time issue now. Correct no loot after the Daylight Standard Time limit. It appears to not be an issue now that the server has been changed to match Daylight Savings Time. Thanks @Ocho, @RedPanda, or whomever is responsible for making the time update. However it did cause for our guild officers to miss 1st half of GW and almost lose. Haha
  18. I Has anybody else had glitches with Boss? I have noticed since last update (Hannibal event) that the person who kills Boss shows as doing no damage. Not a big deal. But now, we are not receiving any loots from killing Boss as well. This is not acceptable. @Ocho, @RedPanda. Please look into the coding. The moment when Boss is slain, something is not registering to initiate loots and not recording the damage by the player who makes the kill. You may email me direct for more specific details and screenshots to help fix this issue:
  19. @Arkone Mac version coming soon to a PC near you.
  20. @pAura They wont do this. They dont even fix the game, or do events anymore. The only thing they will do next is turn off the servers.
  21. Lol, I finally got a response from Vivian to my question from Nov 19th. I have 4 more days left on my 100 per day card before it expires. As of now I have no reason to renew it. And if I must blow my 20,000 diamonds with out a Gear Up event, I will uninstall the game on New Years day and never play NetEase again. As a customer and a share holder, I am disappointed. @RedPanda @Ocho
  22. If there are no more events for Eternal Arena in December I am quitting all NetEase games forever. I will not support a company who does.not support their customers. @RedPanda @Ocho @Alex
  23. I sent a question to in game help on Nov 19th. It has been a week since Vivian told me it is under urgent review. If there is no Gear Up event this month, I am done with all NetEase games forever. I understand all games come to an end, but the way this is being done is not professional.
  24. A development in the Eternal Glitch has evolved in the PVP lobby. Players are being hijacked by an unknown, afk entity named JudioGigante. Just as a match is found, one player gets stuck in the lobby and is replaced by this entity. The player is then stuck until the end of the match. This was pretty seldom at first, but recent reports suggest this phenomena is becoming more aggressive. Hematock, a local toon, spoke out about it in NetEase gazette saying, "This perpetrator has crossed the line between a prank and outright terrorizing young players. This will no longer be tolerated". In response, Cerberus and the Black Dragon have started tracking the scent trail of this JudioGigante. So far they have only tracked down a rare item near the Stormforge Hold. Many have speculated as to the origin and nature of JudioGigante, even to the point of suggesting it is a conspiracy by the devs to dissuade players from this game in an effort to kill it and turn off the servers. But most speculate it is a bot created by a crafty independent player named Five's. Five's has been known to create devious bots in chat groups and on bathroom stalls, causing entertaining chaos to other players. With each bot, so the rumors grow. As to history of JudioGigante's past, very little is known. Viola has confirmed she had met him/her online a few times and agreed to a blind date back in her early days of Jr college Pit Fight, but she was stood up at the last minute. No contact was ever made again. Also, court documents have been found for the adoption of one Judio-ito, age 7 by Hibernus and Antinah (now divorced). Judio-ito dissapeared 2 yrs after adoption and was suspected of running with a gang led by Loshod. But by then, Judio would have grown to the Gigante size he/she is now. In game help workers Nikki, Vivan, and Mary have offered very little help except to suggest "It is recommended that you turn off the game and reload while standing on your head in hopes that the devs will soon find their solution". As for now, the citizens and players of Eternal Glitch ponder who is the real JudioGigante? What does this person want? When will the villainy end? What are the other 2 common manors for?
  25. The url link for EA news and events directs the viewer to CoL news. If EA is not going to have anymore news or events, please at least say so. Simply directing the viewer to the newer, and more profitable, game is frustrating and will not likely steer more people in the direction desired. More rather, it will steer people away from NetEase games altogether. @RedPanda @Ocho